The presidential and parliamentary elections to be held on May 14 are of great importance for Turkey. For this reason, the political scene is experiencing the most active days of recent years. Alliances, collaborations, negotiations, divisions and discussions seem to continue until Election Day. There is an excited expectation on the part of the citizens. Everyone from seven to seventy is wondering who will be the new president and what the picture will be in the Turkish Grand National Assembly in the new period. Of course, it is impossible to predict the outcome of decisive elections in advance. However, many research companies can help us get an idea of the picture that might emerge from their surveys. Well, what do the results of the pre-election poll say, which party will get how many votes, which of the candidates is leading in the presidential race, let’s see together.
The May 14 elections have long been the most important item on our country’s agenda.
Political parties are preparing for the most important elections of recent years. Ankara behind the scenes is more active than ever. Alliances to be formed, cooperated, disengaged or discussed, in short, even the slightest development in the field of politics can affect the outcome of an election. On the other hand, on the other side of the square, millions of citizens are waiting with great curiosity for the results of the elections.
Just like politicians, citizens try to guess the answer to the question of who will be the new president. However, this is not the only question that citizens are looking for an answer to. The parliamentary elections that will be held along with the presidential elections are also very important in terms of how our country will be governed in the new period.
Recent polls may give an idea of what kind of picture awaits us in the May 14 elections.
As elections approach, many research companies organize polls to measure voter behavior at short intervals. Citizens are asked which party and which presidential candidate they will vote for.
Of course, surveys are very open to manipulation by people or organizations from any segment. However, robust field research can help give us an idea of what we might face in the May 14th election. So, what do the results of the pre-election survey conducted by various research companies say?
When Orc Research’s 2023 presidential election poll results are analyzed, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu is leading the race.
In face-to-face company meetings with 4,540 participants in 42 cities between March 11 and 15, 53.1 percent of participants answered Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu’s question “Which candidate would you vote for if the presidential elections were held this Sunday? The share of those who say they will vote for Tayyip Erdogan is 42.3 percent. Muharrem Ince, one of the other names running for president, gets 3.1 percent of the vote, while Sinan Ogan gets 1.5 percent of the vote.
According to the same study, parliamentary elections can be more exciting than presidential ones.
Because when there was an election this Sunday, 28.3 percent of the participants answered the question “Which party would you vote for?” as “People’s Republican Party”, and 28.1 percent answered “Ak Party”. According to the poll, the second largest component of the Alliance of Nations, the IYI party received 11.7 percent of the vote, the HDP 9.3 percent and the MHP 6.3 percent.
Operations Research Election Poll Finds Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Closer to Presidency
Between March 27 and March 29, the company met with 2,655 people and asked participants the question “Which candidate would you vote for in the first round of the presidential election on May 14?” 43.8 percent of the participants answered the question “Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu”. According to the Operations Research pre-election poll, Kılıçdaroğlu is 4.6 points ahead of his closest rival, Erdoğan. Because the percentage of votes received by Erdogan is 39.2 percent.
In addition, the poll shows that the presidential candidate from the Rodina party, Muharrem Ince, received the votes of 8.6 percent of the participants. Sinan Ogan’s vote is 2.7 percent. On the other hand, 2.8% of respondents say they are “undecided” and 2.9% will not vote.
30.2 percent of those who participated in a survey conducted by Yoylem between March 18 and 20 prefer the SEP.
In the same poll, the share of those who say they will vote for the Republican People’s Party is 24.2 percent. While the HDP was the third most voted party in the poll with 8.4 percent of the vote, it can be seen that the IYI party received 8 percent and the MHP 5.9 percent.
MAK Consulting met face to face with 5,750 people in 53 provinces from March 8 to 15.
Respondents were asked which presidential candidate and which party they would vote for on May 14. According to the preferences of 5750 voters, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu becomes the new president of Turkey, while the parliamentary majority remains with the AKP.
Because 46.5 percent of the participants said they would vote for Kılıçdaroglu. Erdogan’s vote is 42.4 percent. According to the results of the survey, the undecided figure is also remarkable: 7.7%. The overall percentage of votes for the “Other” option is 3.4 percent.
According to a survey conducted by MAK Consulting, the AKP continues to be the party with the most seats in parliament.
Examining the data provided by the research company, it is clear that the AKP received 34.2 percent of the vote, while the Republican People’s Party was left with 26 percent. On the other hand, it can be seen that 13.6% of the participants preferred the ISI party, while the MHP received only 6.3% of the vote.
Survey studies show that the Alliance of Nations received more votes than the Alliance of Nations.
Some 2023 election polls ask voters which candidate and party they will vote for, as well as which alliance they will support. In recent polls, the National Alliance appears to be ahead of the People’s Alliance.
For example, in the March 8 Aksoy Research poll, the percentage of the National Alliance’s vote is 44.1 percent. On the other hand, the People’s Alliance gets 38.2 votes. A similar picture can be seen in the results of the ALF Research pre-election poll.
An ALF poll from March 6-7 shows that the vote for the Alliance of Nations is 43.3 percent. The share of those who declare that they will support the People’s Union is 38.9 percent. In short, the Alliance of Nations is leading the election race, ahead of the Alliance of Nations.
Source: 1
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